Eurovision Odds & Favorites 2025: Sweden Still on Top After First Semifinal
By Sean Tomlinson | Last updated: May 14, 2025, 11:52 AM EDT
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The contest began with a bright first semifinal. The stage lit up with soul ballads and strong anthems. The event drew views from many across the land. Betting sites like Kalshi keep a close eye on the numbers. Ten countries won a place in the final, set for Saturday.
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Sweden Holds the Top Spot
Sweden sits at the top in the betting charts. The nation wins a place in the final with ease. It has a strong history in this contest. Sweden has shared seven wins with Ireland since 1956. This year, KAJ sings "Bara Badu Bastu," a song that means "let’s take a sauna."
Kalshi now shows a 44% chance for Sweden to win. The odds fell by 13% after the semifinal run.
New Challengers: Austria and the Netherlands
Austria now sees higher numbers. Its chance moved from 5% before the show to 24% now. The change shows that Austria builds strength. Its singer gives a strong show that may test Sweden.
The Netherlands also rises in the race. Its odds grew from 3.33% to 7% after the final spot. The Dutch have five wins in past years. In 2019, Duncan Laurence won with "Arcade."
Other Countries and the Next Semifinal
Other countries see better odds too. Estonia saw a rise. Today, Estonia and Israel both share a 5% chance. France sits at 6%.
A second semifinal happens tomorrow. Ten new acts will fight for their final spots. Fans and bettors wait with hope for new numbers and fresh shows.
Current Eurovision Odds (2025)
The latest win chances are:
• Sweden: 44%
• Austria: 24%
• Netherlands: 7%
• France: 6%
• Estonia: 5%
• Israel: 5%
• Finland: 4%
• Albania: 2%
• Armenia: 1%
• Germany: 1%
The race to the final grows fast. Fans keep close eyes on their acts as new turns may change the odds.
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