Eurovision 2025: Semi-Final One Results Forecast by The Model, Your Voix, and Betting Odds
Basel, Switzerland — The contest nears. Tonight, 15 countries come to Basel. They compete for a final spot. The model, Your Voix, and betting odds guide our view.
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A Shift to 100% Televoting
This year, votes come from TV only. Viewers cast votes. No jurors count until the grand final. Ten spots open for Saturday night.
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Forecast from The Model
The model runs data tests. Its tests point to ten countries moving on. They are:
- Sweden: KAJ – “Bara bada bastu”
- Belgium: Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights”
- Ukraine: Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray”
- Norway: Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter”
- Netherlands: Claude – “C’est la vie”
- Estonia: Tommy Cash – “Espresso Macchiato”
- San Marino: Gabry Ponte – “Tutta l’Italia”
- Albania: Shkodra Elektronike – “Zjerm”
- Poland: Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja”
- Iceland: Væb – “Róa”
Insights from Your Voix
Your Voix runs its own test. Its list matches the model. Both point to the same ten acts. A solid view forms from both sides.
Current Betting Odds
Odds now agree with the tests. They pick these entries as top choices:
- Sweden: KAJ – “Bara bada bastu”
- Estonia: Tommy Cash – “Espresso Macchiato”
- Netherlands: Claude – “C’est la vie”
- Albania: Shkodra Elektronike – “Zjerm”
- Ukraine: Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray”
- Belgium: Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights”
- Poland: Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja”
- Cyprus: Theo Evan – “Shh”
- Norway: Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter”
- San Marino: Gabry Ponte – “Tutta l’Italia”
Thoughts on the Predictions
All three sources push Sweden to the top. Estonia, Albania, the Netherlands, and Belgium have strong support. Your Voix lifts Albania’s chance. The model sees risks for Albania, though still strong. In Belgium’s case, the model sits it in second place, while other views give it lower marks.
The Semi-Final Lineup
Tonight, countries keep this order:
- Iceland: Væb – “Róa”
- Poland: Justyna Steczkowska – “Gaja”
- Slovenia: Klemen – “How Much Time Do We Have Left”
- Estonia: Tommy Cash – “Espresso Macchiato”
- Ukraine: Ziferblat – “Bird of Pray”
- Sweden: KAJ – “Bara bada bastu”
- Portugal: Napa – “Deslocado”
- Norway: Kyle Alessandro – “Lighter”
- Belgium: Red Sebastian – “Strobe Lights”
- Azerbaijan: Mamagama – “Run with U”
- San Marino: Gabry Ponte – “Tutta l’Italia”
- Albania: Shkodra Elektronike – “Zjerm”
- Netherlands: Claude – “C’est la vie”
- Croatia: Marko Bošnjak – “Poison Cake”
- Cyprus: Theo Evan – “Shh”
Conclusion
The show begins tonight. Countries sing while viewers vote. Fans will see the results soon. Tomorrow brings more news as we note which list hit the mark. Stay close for updates and a review of tonight’s acts.
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