Eurovision 2025: Analysis of Qualification Odds for Semi-Final One - Who's in the Running?

Eurovision 2025: Last Look at Semi-Final One Qualification Odds

As the contest nears Semi-Final One in Basel, the betting odds shift fast. In less than one hour, the event starts. Here is a quick view of the odds.

Belgium Rises in Odds

Belgium gained 11 points in the last day. Belgium now sits as the sixth pick. It was once a top contender. Now it finds speed and strength in Basel.

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Norway and Cyprus Fall Back

Norway and Cyprus see lower odds now. Cyprus slips to the eighth spot. Norway drops to ninth. Cyprus loses more than the other top teams.

Slovenia and San Marino in Close Race

Slovenia and San Marino pair up near the top. They differ by 4 points. Slovenia is in eleventh place. San Marino sits in tenth. Klemen brings Slovenia close to a third win in a row. A win here means a special mark for the nation.

Underestimated Teams

Azerbaijan, Portugal, and Croatia lag by over 30 points. These teams face a long road. Their chances remain low.

Current Qualification Odds

Here are the latest odds from Eurovision World as of 20:00 CET:

Rank

Country

Qualification Chance

1

Sweden

95% (no change)

2

Estonia

95% (no change)

3

Netherlands

94% (+1 place)

4

Albania

94% (+1 place, +1%)

5

Ukraine

93% (-2 places, -1%)

6

Belgium

87% (+3 places, +11%)

7

Poland

83% (+1 place)

8

Cyprus

80% (-2 places, -6%)

9

Norway

79% (-2 places, -5%)

10

San Marino

56% (+6%)

11

Slovenia

52% (+5%)

12

Iceland

44% (+5%)

13

Azerbaijan

20% (-11%)

14

Portugal

15% (+1 place, -1%)

15

Croatia

13% (-1 place, -3%)

Watch the Action

The semi-final starts soon and fans wait for news. Follow Eurovoix on Facebook and X for live updates. Visit Eurovoix on YouTube for talks with the artists and the latest news.

The show brings strong songs and clear style. Many teams aim for the Grand Final. Stay with us as the show unfolds in Basel.

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